XRAYFX / INSIGHTS
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Italy’s annual inflation rose to 4.2% in September 2026, with prices up 0.7% month on month. Istat’s final figures show energy-led acceleration, while core inflation edged up to 1.6%.
France’s business climate index fell to 96.4 in September 2026 from 97.8 in August, interrupting three monthly increases. INSEE’s survey indicator remained below its long-term average of 100 and close to its year-earlier level.
France’s annual national CPI inflation rose to 3.1% in September 2026, while EU-harmonised HICP inflation reached 3.4%. Both INSEE measures accelerated from August and exceeded every reading from March through August.
France’s real GDP was unchanged in Q2 2026 after falling 0.2% in the first quarter, according to INSEE. The result marks stabilisation rather than a return to the quarterly growth recorded throughout 2025.
Germany’s manufacturing production rose approximately 0.6% in August 2026, while new orders fell approximately 10.1%. The divergence points to uneven activity, with output recovering only partly from July’s decline and orders remaining above their year-earlier level.
Germany’s real GDP rose 0.3% quarter on quarter in Q2 2026, seasonally and calendar adjusted. Unadjusted growth from a year earlier reached 1.0%, showing a stronger annual comparison despite slightly slower quarterly expansion.
UK broad money annual growth rose to 4.5% in August 2026, while lending growth held at 6.4%, Bank of England figures show. The readings suggest steadier monetary expansion rather than a broad acceleration.
Great Britain retail sales volumes increased 0.7% month on month in August 2026, reversing July’s decline. Volumes excluding automotive fuel increased 0.9%, although recent monthly results remained uneven.
UK nominal regular-pay growth rose to 3.7% in June–August 2026, while real regular-pay growth remained at 0.6%. The ONS figures show a modest pickup in nominal earnings growth without a corresponding acceleration in inflation-adjusted pay.
UK unemployment fell to 4.7% in June–August 2026, while the employment rate rose to 75.3%, according to the ONS. Both seasonally adjusted rates improved after four unchanged rolling estimates.
UK real GDP rose 0.1% in August 2026, slowing from July’s 0.4% increase. Growth over the three months to August strengthened to 0.7%, showing firmer activity over the broader period despite the softer monthly result.
UK annual CPI inflation rose to 3.1% in August 2026, while CPIH reached 3.3%, according to ONS data. Both rates increased for a second consecutive month, reversing part of the easing seen earlier in the year.
US job openings fell to 7.079 million in August 2026, while hiring rose modestly and quits declined. The combination points to softer demand for additional workers, but not a uniform weakening in recruitment.
The Swiss National Bank held its policy rate at 0% on 24 September 2026. It raised its conditional inflation outlook but said inflation would remain within the range consistent with price stability throughout the forecast horizon.
Euro area real GDP rose 0.6% in the second quarter of 2026 after stagnating in the first, while employment increased 0.1%. The figures point to stronger output growth without an acceleration in employment.
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